There are a few key reasons why wealthy individuals tend not to play the lottery:
- They don’t need the money – Wealthy people already have enough money to live comfortably, so the prize isn’t as enticing.
- The odds are terrible – They understand the extremely low odds of winning and see it as an unwise investment.
- It’s not exciting – To the ultra-rich, even a hundred million dollar prize isn’t life-changing money, so where’s the thrill?
- It’s a tax on the poor – The lottery tends to draw in those who can least afford to play, which some view as exploitative.
Let’s explore each of these points in more depth:
They don’t need the money
The primary lure of playing the lottery is the chance to win big sums of money. But for rich people, even tens or hundreds of millions of dollars in winnings may not make a huge impact on their lifestyle or net worth.
For example, someone with a net worth of $50 million might not care much about winning even a $500 million jackpot. While it would bump their net worth to $550 million, they likely already own multiple homes, nice cars, a private jet, and anything else money can buy. The prize wouldn’t fundamentally change their spending abilities.
On the other hand, that $500 million would be truly life-changing for someone struggling to make ends meet or get out of debt. The incentive is much lower for those who are already financially comfortable or rich.
Wealthy people have security
In Maslow’s hierarchy of needs, one of the most basic requirements is physical and financial security. Wealthy individuals generally already have this security in spades.
They don’t worry about keeping the lights on, putting food on the table, or being one missed paycheck away from financial ruin. A lottery win wouldn’t relieve any monetary stress or uncertainty for them.
They have many income streams
Rich people often have diverse income streams, whether that’s through investments, businesses, inheriting family money, or other assets that provide regular payouts. Even an enormous lottery prize likely wouldn’t surpass or significantly boost their existing passive incomes.
Playing the lottery wouldn’t meaningfully change their cashflows. For the average working or middle class individual, the potential payout is much more enticing.
It’s a drop in the bucket
Let’s say a lottery jackpot is $1 billion, and a wealthy person’s net worth is $5 billion. Winning would bump their net worth to $6 billion, a nice boost but still just a 20% increase in their overall wealth. They might look at playing the lottery as a foolish and trivial pursuit for such a relatively small returns.
For some context, $1 billion is:
- 1% of $100 billion
- 2% of $50 billion
- 5% of $20 billion
As you can see, even gigantic lottery prizes are often just drops in the bucket for the ultra high net worth set. The potential winnings aren’t proportional to the risk.
The odds are terrible
Wealthy individuals understand the extremely low odds of winning the lottery. Let’s take Powerball, one of the two biggest national lotteries, as an example:
- Odds of winning the Powerball jackpot: 1 in 292,201,338
- Odds of winning any Powerball prize: 1 in 24.87
- Odds of winning $1 million prize: 1 in 11,688,053.52
- Overall odds are stacked heavily against players
To put that into perspective, you are:
- 300x more likely to get struck by lightning in your lifetime
- 425x more likely to get a hole in one in golf
- 22,000x more likely to date a millionaire
Essentially, your chances of winning the grand prize or any significant sum in the lottery are microscopically small. Wealthy individuals are generally adept at calculating risk versus reward. And with odds like this, the risk overwhelmingly outweighs the potential reward.
Lottery has negative expected value
Looking at the Powerball lottery from a expected value perspective makes it very unappealing as well.
Prize | Odds of Winning | Prize Amount | Expected Value |
---|---|---|---|
Jackpot | 1 in 292,201,338 | $150 million | $0.51 |
$1 million | 1 in 11,688,053 | $1 million | $0.09 |
$50,000 | 1 in 913,129 | $50,000 | $0.05 |
$100 | 1 in 91 | $100 | $1.10 |
Ticket price | -$2 | -$2 | |
Total | -$0.25 |
As you can see, the expected payout of playing Powerball is actually negative $0.25. Over time, the more you play, the more you are expected mathematically to lose. This makes the lottery an extremely poor use of money strictly from a financial standpoint.
Wealthy individuals know this and tend to put their money into assets with positive expected returns instead, like stocks, bonds, businesses, or real estate.
It’s not exciting
For the average person, winning even $1 million in the lottery would be an extraordinary, life-changing event. That kind of windfall could allow them to buy a nice house, quit a job they dislike, take dream vacations, and do many things they otherwise couldn’t afford.
But to a billionaire, even $500 million isn’t nearly as monumental or exciting. They likely already live in mansions, own islands, and have purchased virtually anything money can buy. The thrill just isn’t there compared to a regular person winning.
Diminishing returns on happiness
Research has shown that money does correlate to increased happiness, but only up to a point. Studies have consistently found that happiness levels tend to plateau around incomes of $75,000 per year. More money beyond that threshold doesn’t seem to make people incrementally happier.
Lottery prizes in the hundreds of millions then would likely have diminishing impacts on the joy and life satisfaction of the already ultra-wealthy. They have already crossed the peak point where money makes you happier. For the average person, those amounts could put them into that peak happiness zone for the first time.
Boring to the rich
Building on that point, since massive lottery winnings wouldn’t fundamentally change their lifestyle, it’s just not that exciting to wealthy people. $100 million or $500 million just doesn’t go as far for the ultra-rich and might even be seen as “boring” windfalls compared to building a successful business empire.
They tend to derive more satisfaction from the thrill of earning money through smart investments, blocksbuster deals, launching their own companies, and the other ways the wealthy make money. For most rich folks, playing the lottery likely seems like a tedious exercise.
It’s a tax on the poor
Studies have consistently shown lottery ticket sales correlate strongly with areas that have higher poverty rates. People with lower incomes tend to spend a greater portion of their money on lottery tickets.
Some economists therefore refer to lotteries as a ‘regressive tax’ – that is, a tax that disproportionally affects low income individuals. The effective ‘tax rate’ on poor people’s income is higher than others through their greater lottery spending.
Where lottery revenue comes from
This chart from a recent report shows the breakdown of where lottery revenue originates by income level:
Income level | Share of lottery revenue |
---|---|
Under $30,000 | 57% |
$30,000-$50,000 | 23% |
$50,000-$100,000 | 15% |
Over $100,000 | 5% |
As you can see, over 50% comes from those making under $30,000 per year, while the wealthy contribute only a small fraction. Some view this as predatory.
False hope to the poor
Critics argue lotteries give false hope to poor people of escaping poverty by hitting the jackpot. But in reality, the odds are so astronomically against them that they would be better served investing that money or using it for necessities.
Wealthy people tend to be more financially literate. They recognize playing the lottery is unlikely to get someone out of poverty. The ultra-rich are unlikely to view the lottery as charitable.
Unethical to some
Given those dynamics, some view state-run lotteries as unethical. They argue it’s a government enterprise that disproportionately takes money from the poorest citizens who can least afford it. The ultra-wealthy recognize this dynamic and may view supporting lotteries as exploitative.
Concerns over lifestyle changes
While less significant than other factors, some ultra high net worth individuals may also view winning the lottery as having some potential downsides. While it would give them more money, it could also disrupt their lives.
More security risks
The wealthy are already at higher risk of being targets for crimes like kidnapping, extortion, burglary, and more. A highly publicized nine or ten figure lottery win would make them even bigger targets. Some rich people may wish to avoid the extra risks and headaches that would come with the publicity of a big lottery score.
Less privacy
For similar reasons, wealthy individuals already face challenges maintaining privacy from the media and general public. A mega lottery win would kick that into overdrive. Their lives could be disrupted by constant requests for money, interview seekers, paparazzi, and other attention. Remaining anonymous after winning would also be very difficult.
Family issues
Inter-family tensions, fights over money, and lawsuits are common when regular people win smaller lottery prizes. Now imagine family squabbles over, say, a $500 million jackpot. Wealthy people may wish to avoid those Pandora’s boxes.
Guilt over more wealth
Some rich folks perceive themselves as having ‘enough’ and may even feel guilty over their extreme wealth. The idea of piling on hundreds of millions more may seem unappealing from that lens. They may feel discomfort over appearing even more wildly rich and privileged.
They invest in better odds
Rather than gamble on infinitesimal lottery odds, wealthy people tend to put their money into investments with more reasonable chances of paying off.
Stocks
Wealthy investors have large portfolios of stocks across diverse companies and sectors. Historical stock market average returns are about 7% after inflation, much better odds.
Bonds
Investment grade bonds have very high rates of return with low risks of default. Much better chances than playing random numbers.
Business ventures
Starting or investing in business has risks, but reasonable chances of succeeding with proper knowledge and skills. Far better than lottery odds.
Real estate
Similarly, real estate investments done wisely have solid risk-reward ratios. Property values tend to appreciate over longer time periods.
Savings accounts
Even just holding cash in a high yield savings account is a better bet, earning guaranteed interest with zero risk.
Essentially, the wealthy have many investment opportunities with far higher chances of predictable returns. Few would waste money on lottery tickets.
They value education and skills
A final piece helping explain why rich people avoid the lottery is culture and values. Wealthy individuals tend to prize education, business savvy, and specialized skills. Playing the lottery represents the opposite of those values – hoping to get rich by mere chance.
Education prioritized
The upper class values prestigious schools and academic achievement as status symbols. Getting rich quick by winning the lotto doesn’t align with admiring the work ethic to graduate elite universities.
Business smarts
Cultivating business acumen is highly esteemed in wealthy circles as a path to riches. Hoping and praying to get lucky on some tickets is antithetical.
Value in earned success
Lastly, much of the wealthy’s identity is derived from the perception of being more successful and working harder than others. Winning by blind luck rather than merit goes against those engrained ideals.
How regular people play lottery
Now that we’ve explored why wealthy people tend to avoid playing the lottery, let’s examine how lower and middle income individuals engage:
- Dream of escaping financial struggles
- Hope to pay off debt, mortgages, etc.
- Aspirations of buying homes, nice cars, vacations
- Desire to quit unpleasant jobs
- Want to help support family members
- Thrill of possibility, however remote
- Fun of fantasizing about winning
- Social aspect of playing with friends
As mentioned, lower income individuals spend a greater portion of their income on lottery tickets. But the reasons go much deeper than just the size of the jackpots.
Playing represents far more aspirational daydreaming for the lower and middle classes. They crave the life-changing effects of big dollar prizes to help alleviate financial stresses.
Long shot to change lives
While the wealthy can dismiss Powerball as foolish given the terrible odds, many average Americans view it as a tiny glimmer of hope for a radically better life. A sliver of a chance for an outcome that would otherwise be impossible in their lifetimes.
They generally understand the tiny chances of winning. But holding tickets gives people permission to fantasize and mentally escape from life’s harsh realities, if only temporarily.
Consistently bad investment for all
Regardless of one’s socioeconomic status, playing the lottery is a poor use of money strictly from a financial perspective. With negative expected returns, it’s effectively lighting money on fire.
But there are powerful emotional and psychological allures to playing. And those aspects make rational economic calculations much less relevant for the non-wealthy. Their tickets sell aspirations, not mathematical expectations.
While rich and poor play for very different reasons, both would benefit financially from investing that money into almost anything else. But for one group, it’s a whimsical discretionary expense. For the other, it’s a shot, albeit an extreme long shot, at a better life.
Conclusion
In summary, wealthy individuals tend to avoid playing the lottery for several key reasons:
- Don’t need the money
- Understand the terrible odds
- View jackpots as boring or insignificant
- See playing as a tax on the poor
- Have better investment opportunities
- Value skills and education over luck
For lower income households, the lottery offers a glimmer of hope, however irrational or remote. And a form of escapism from financial stresses and grinding daily lives.
While rarely a wise financial move, playing the lottery represents very different psychological motives across the economic spectrum. Daydreams of a better future for some. A poor utilization of wealth for others.